Week 5- Election Post

This week's election blog is about swing states. The two states that I picked were Florida and Virginia.

Florida is a swing state in this election and so far, recent polls are showing that McCain is in the lead in this state 46% to 45%. Florida has always been won over by the Republicans in the past elections except for 1996 when Democrats won by 48%. In the previous election, Bush won this state by 5 points. Obama has been competing fiercely for this state and at this point, Florida could go either way. I think that Florida is indecisive because they have major cities that are different for example, Miami is heavily Democratic but Jacksonville and the Florida Panhandle are heavily Republican.

Virginia is also a swing state in this year's election and recently, polls are showing that Obama is ahead 54% to 44%. Virginia has been known as one of the most Republican states and has been won over by the Republican party for the past 40 years. Because of all of the money that Obama has been pouring into this state and how hard he's been fighting for it, we're starting to lean more towards the Democratic side.

I predict that McCain is going to win Florida because the majority of the state is Republican and Obama was ahead last week but he's been dropping in the polls. I predict that Virginia is definitely going to be won over by Obama because he is ahead by double digits and there is a big margin difference. Just a week and a half left until election day, so we'll see how it turns out.